Wednesday, August 3, 2016

EUR/GBP - Long term (bullish) view

From the years 2000 to 2008 the Euro made solid gains against the Pound but the complete rally from 0.56 to 0.98 unfolded as a three-wave structure and was therefore corrective 

After 2008 the Euro got clobbered big time and faced huge losses against the Pound and fell all the way back to 0.6930. Crucially this decline in EUR/GBP took place in 3 waves (double zigzag) too and hence was corrective as well.

In July 2008 the pair rallied impulsively to 0.8626 and broke convincingly out of a 8 year old corrective channel. Currently the correction of the 0.69-0.86 impuls is already in progress.

From here on out I believe the correction of the 0.69 - 0.86 rally will need more time to complete and will subsequently be followed by new rally which should go far beyond 0.86 in a C wave.